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Major perturbation of ocean chemistry and a 'Strangelove Ocean' after the end-Permian mass extinction

Michael R. Rampino and Ken Caldeira · Terra Nova 17, 554-559 · 2005

Key finding. Simulations with an ocean-atmosphere carbon-cycle model show that a severe reduction of marine primary productivity can explain the abrupt end-Permian carbon-isotope excursion, and that it would have raised surface-ocean dissolved inorganic carbon and driven atmospheric CO2 from a Late Permian baseline of 850 ppm to about 2,500 ppm.

A line graph against time after the extinction in thousands of years, from 0 to about 52. A blue curve of modelled atmospheric CO2, read on the left axis from 500 to 3000 parts per million, spikes to about 2500 within the first two thousand years and then decays to near 1000. A black curve of modelled carbonate accumulation, read on the right axis in units of 10 to the 12 moles per year, drops sharply at first and then climbs steadily to about 15.
The productivity collapse drives a rapid CO2 spike from a Late Permian baseline of 850 to about 2,500 parts per million, followed by a long recovery. The rising black curve is the surge in shallow-water carbonate deposition that the earliest Triassic rock record preserves. Figure 1 from Rampino and Caldeira (2005), Terra Nova 17, 554-559. Reproduced under author reuse rights. Extracted from the published PDF and resized for web display.

What question did this research address?

The end-Permian extinction, about 251 million years ago, was the most severe in the geological record, and it came with a rapid 3 per mil negative shift in the carbon isotopic composition of the surface ocean and atmosphere that persisted about 500,000 years.

How fast that shift happened decides what caused it. Changes in weathering or in the balance of buried and eroded carbon take hundreds of thousands to millions of years; redistributing carbon within the ocean-atmosphere system takes thousands to tens of thousands. This paper asked whether a productivity collapse can produce the observed excursion.

What did we find?

The timing constraint is tight. Radiometric dating limits the extinction pulse in China to under a million years and the isotope shift to less than about 165,000 years; Milankovitch cyclostratigraphy across the Permian-Triassic boundary in the Austrian Alps puts the abrupt marine faunal change within about 8,000 years.

That speed rules out weathering-cycle explanations, which operate on hundreds of thousands to millions of years, and points instead at a redistribution of carbon within the ocean-atmosphere system.

A geochemical model of the ocean, atmosphere, and rock reservoirs — a three-box ocean plus atmosphere — reproduces the excursion when marine productivity collapses, together with changes in the delivery and cycling of carbon on land and in the sea.

Carbon that would have been exported to depth by the biological pump stays in the surface ocean, so surface dissolved inorganic carbon rises and CO2 goes to the atmosphere, taking it from 850 ppm to roughly 2,500 ppm as a rapid, short-term excursion.

The higher surface-ocean alkalinity that follows may explain a distinctive feature of the rock record: the widespread microbial and abiotic shallow-water carbonate deposits of the earliest Triassic.

The model is also consistent with a long-term decrease, over more than a million years, in the sedimentary burial of organic carbon in the Early Triassic.

Why does it matter?

It gives the 'Strangelove Ocean' — an ocean with its biological pump switched off — a quantitative test, and shows the idea survives comparison with both the isotope record and the carbonate record.

Explaining the earliest Triassic microbial carbonates as a chemical consequence of the extinction, rather than an unrelated oddity, ties two separate lines of evidence to one event.

A jump from 850 to 2,500 ppm driven by ecosystem collapse rather than by volcanism is a reminder that the biosphere is itself a control on atmospheric CO2, not only a passive recipient of it.

Citation

Michael R. Rampino and Ken Caldeira (2005). Major perturbation of ocean chemistry and a 'Strangelove Ocean' after the end-Permian mass extinction. Terra Nova 17, 554-559.

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